WX for region 23
R23 WX: Tue 03/03/09. The chance of T/storms during the evening. Winds N-NE aver 35-45 km/h, up to 50 km/h. Temperatures 28-34 during the day. NE AVE TEMP: 33 RH: 25% WIND: NNE 40 G 70 GFDI: 49 FDR: V/HIGH R.O.S: 7.9 Kph. FFDI: 42 FDR: V/HIGH R.O.S: 1.41 kph. SPOT: 5.0 Km. CROWN: Yes. LAL =1 *Wed 04/03/09. Cloudy. Isolated T/storms in am. Isolated showers. Winds W-NW aver 30-40 km/h, up to 45 km/h. O/night temps falling to 11 with day temps reaching 16-22. GFDI: 45 V/HIGH. FFDI: 31 V/High. O.O. A Mills
FDI hasnt reached extreme yet..but the ROS/SPOT/CROWN aint good to see.
think theyve reduced the overall wind speed forecast, but theres still wind.
really interesting to see how badly wrong the weather forecast here has been. 2 days ago...in fact even last night, talk of 140kph winds - where are they?.....not saying its a bad thing not to have them, but the accuracy of things has to be a point of concern. Following on from the "Day of Terror" last week that was a fizzer....theres a credibility issue becoming apparant that will make it harder for the public to get onside with warnings in the future
Personally, I think the reaction cycle is going to be bad for the general public in the near future. For example:
ETSA still warn that they will cut electrical supply on bad fire days has a preventative. I have not heard that happen in recent years since aerial bundling of cable. BUT with lawyers threatening to sue in Victoria & Pt Lincoln, will they shutdown to be on the safe side ?? Then you will get the political consequence of people not having power on hot days... Damn'd if you do, Damn'd if you dont....
School closures & BoM warnings. No one said it was perfect & absolutely accurate. This morning I was called out because it was threatening. This is a regular occurance because if the Unit / Organisation does not pre-plan, you become reactive and behind the eight-ball toooo much. We answered two telephone calls.... Damn'd if you do, Damn'd if you dont....
If the organisation did not plan for a strike force of volunteers when it was requested, you will be reactive. The weather did not occur, so the deployment is delayed, possibly cancelled.... Damn'd if you do, Damn'd if you dont....